The 10th-ranked Kansas State Wildcats make their fourth appearance in the Big 12 title game and first in 19 years when they face the No. 3 TCU Horned Frogs on Saturday in the 2022 Big 12 Championship Game. Kansas State (9-3, 7-2 Big 12) defeated Oklahoma in 2003 to capture the conference title after losing to the Sooners in 2000 and Texas A&M two years earlier. The Wildcats also won the Big 12 crown in 2012, when the title game did not exist. TCU (12-0, 9-0) is looking to win its first conference championship contest after being defeated by Oklahoma in 2017.
Kickoff at AT&T Stadium in Arlington, Texas is set for noon ET. The Horned Frogs are 1-point favorites in the latest TCU vs. Kansas State odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the over/under for total points scored is 62. Before making any Kansas State vs. TCU picks or Big 12 Championship Game 2022 predictions, you need to see what the SportsLine Projection Model has to say.
The model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Over the past six-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated a stunning profit of almost $2,500 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.
Now, the model has set its sights on TCU vs. Kansas State and locked in its picks and predictions. You can visit SportsLine now to see the model's picks. Here are the CFB odds and betting trends for Kansas State vs. TCU:
- TCU vs. Kansas State spread: Horned Frogs -1
- TCU vs. Kansas State over/under: 62 points
- TCU vs. Kansas State money line: Horned Frogs -120, Wildcats +100
- TCU: The Horned Frogs are 5-1 against the spread in their last five games
- KSU: The Wildcats are 4-1 ATS in their last five meetings with the Horned Frogs
- TCU vs. Kansas State picks: See picks at SportsLine
Why TCU can cover
The Horned Frogs are 12-0 for the third time in school history and first since 2010, when they won the Rose Bowl to finish 13-0. The team is fourth in the nation in scoring with an average of 41.3 points per game and received a contribution from its defense in last week's 62-14 rout of Iowa State. Junior cornerback Josh Newton and senior safety Millard Bradford both scored on interception returns, marking the first time TCU has returned two picks for touchdowns in a game since accomplishing the feat in 2009 against New Mexico.
Kendre Miller has found the end zone with regularity this season, rushing for at least one TD in all 12 of the Horned Frogs' games to match the longest streak to begin a campaign in school history. The junior ran for a pair of scores last week and needs two more contests with a rushing TD to equal LaDainian Tomlinson's program record of 15 consecutive games. Miller, whose team-leading 16 rushing touchdowns are the fourth-most in a season at TCU, has run for 1,260 yards this year after gaining 623 in 2021.
Why Kansas State can cover
The Wildcats have been dominant in the first half during conference play, outscoring their opponents by 122 points -- the second-highest margin in the Big 12. Much credit needs to go to Kansas State's defense, which has been downright stingy at times this season. The Wildcats lead the conference with an average of 19.4 points allowed per game and have given up a total of 15 second-half points over their last five contests.
Deuce Vaughn is coming off a huge performance in Kansas State's 47-27 victory against Kansas last week as he made 25 carries for 147 yards and a touchdown while hauling in two passes for 82 yards. It marked the fifth time Vaughn has recorded at least 70 yards both rushing and receiving in a game, the most in Big 12 history. The junior running back, who ran for 83 yards and a TD against TCU in their regular-season meeting, has posted seven 100-yard efforts on the ground this season and 19 in 35 career contests.
How to make Kansas State vs. TCU picks
SportsLine's model is leaning Over on the total, projecting 63 combined points. It also has generated an against-the-spread pick that cashes in almost 60% of simulations. You can only get the model's picks at SportsLine.
So who wins TCU vs. Kansas State? And which side of the spread hits almost 60% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the spread to back, all from the advanced model that has crushed its college football picks, and find out.
